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Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
PSG Questloss 1:1
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PSG Quest

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Dukalis · 30 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
OmaR · 27 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 27 games
67%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No!ob · 25 games
68%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
TA2000 · 24 games
63%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
No!ob · 23 games
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
OmaR · 23 games
52%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Malik · 17 games
47%

BETBOOM TEAM

Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 28 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 28 games
68%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 23 games
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 21 game
48%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 20 games
70%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 18 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
386 picks · 678 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 373 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
321 picks · 458 bans
55%
Weaver
Weaver
314 picks · 599 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
313 picks · 352 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
310 picks · 198 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
308 picks · 232 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
291 picks · 541 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 47%
Hero pool strength52% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:28
PSG Quest 50%BETBOOM TEAM 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
BroodmotherTA2000
44% · 56 games47% · 101 game
Monkey KingNightfall
Monkey King
Windranger
WindrangerNo!ob
49% · 147 games50% · 148 games
PuckgpK~
Puck
Mars
MarsMalik
50% · 222 games56% · 144 games
BrewmasterMieRo
Brewmaster
Hoodwink
HoodwinkOmaR
45% · 216 games49% · 132 games
SnapfireTORONTOTOKYO
Snapfire
Enchantress
EnchantressDukalis
52% · 170 games56% · 286 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Game 2prediction correct39:17
PSG Quest 50%BETBOOM TEAM 50%
The model gave 50% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 41:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerTA2000
53% · 178 games41% · 155 games
RazorNightfall
Razor
Snapfire
SnapfireNo!ob
55% · 113 games50% · 197 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Doom
DoomMalik
48% · 191 game38% · 88 games
ZeusgpK~
Zeus
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerOmaR
53% · 79 games54% · 202 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Disruptor
DisruptorDukalis
59% · 153 games48% · 72 games
IoTORONTOTOKYO
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 55%
Accuracy by game2 of 2