RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO2
result vs prediction
Dandelionsloss 1:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Monteloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Monte
Hoodwink
QBFY · 12 games
Crystal Maiden
EcNart · 11 games
Dark Willowoften banned
QBFY · 11 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 11 games
Tinyoften banned
QBFY · 11 games
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 10 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 9 games
Linaoften banned
Moonlight · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
386 picks · 676 bans
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 373 bans
Clockwerk
321 picks · 458 bans
Dark Willow
313 picks · 352 bans
Weaver
313 picks · 598 bans
Rubick
310 picks · 197 bans
Hoodwink
307 picks · 231 bans
Pangolier
291 picks · 539 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 31%
Hero pool strength55% Dandelions
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total66% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:14
Dandelions 66%Monte 34%
The model gave 66% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Monte in 37:14.
Game 2prediction missed13:36
Dandelions 66%Monte 34%
The model gave 66% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Monte in 23:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 66%
Accuracy by game0 of 2