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RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO2
result vs prediction
Night Pulseloss 1:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Kami · 12 games
58%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
JANTER · 11 games
64%
Medusa
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 11 games
73%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Hduo · 10 games
70%
Doom
Doomsignature
Corrupted · 10 games
60%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
V-Tune · 10 games
50%

Nemiga Gaming

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
aik · 27 games
56%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
jesv · 24 games
58%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 24 games
42%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 23 games
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Lukas · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 18 games
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
nicky`cool · 14 games
36%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Lukas · 14 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
388 picks · 674 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 374 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
320 picks · 453 bans
54%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
312 picks · 352 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
311 picks · 594 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
309 picks · 194 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
306 picks · 223 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
292 picks · 534 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 48%
Hero pool strength54% Night Pulse
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total56% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:42
Night Pulse 55%Nemiga Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 43:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinV-Tune
42% · 76 games56% · 120 games
SvenLowskill
Sven
Doom
DoomKami
55% · 132 games50% · 119 games
BeastmasterMikSa`
Beastmaster
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritWorick
46% · 68 games46% · 96 games
Ember Spiritnicky`cool
Ember Spirit
Weaver
WeaverJANTER
52% · 117 games40% · 49 games
Snapfirejesv
Snapfire
Jakiro
JakiroHduo
50% · 48 games56% · 57 games
Elder Titanforcemajor
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction correct34:23
Night Pulse 55%Nemiga Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 43:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaV-Tune
52% · 113 games50% · 141 game
WindrangerLowskill
Windranger
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightWorick
47% · 229 games56% · 150 games
Dark SeerMikSa`
Dark Seer
Magnus
MagnusKami
59% · 121 game48% · 150 games
Ember Spiritnicky`cool
Ember Spirit
Techies
TechiesJANTER
49% · 218 games45% · 216 games
Batriderjesv
Batrider
Elder Titan
Elder TitanHduo
50% · 137 games44% · 161 game
Svenforcemajor
Sven
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2