Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostik999 Clubloss 1:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Rostikfacekid Clubwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostik999 Club
No games played over 6 months.
Rostikfacekid Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
577 picks · 355 bans
Phoenix
483 picks · 576 bans
Rubick
468 picks · 248 bans
Tiny
439 picks · 380 bans
Pangolier
392 picks · 544 bans
Puck
333 picks · 893 bans
Beastmaster
324 picks · 827 bans
Ember Spirit
315 picks · 459 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Rostik999 Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Rostik999 Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Rostik999 Club 58%Rostikfacekid Club 42%
The model gave 58% on Rostik999 Club — the game was taken by Rostikfacekid Club.
Game 2prediction correct
Rostik999 Club 58%Rostikfacekid Club 42%
The model gave 58% on Rostik999 Club — the game was taken by Rostik999 Club.
Game 3prediction missed
Rostik999 Club 58%Rostikfacekid Club 42%
The model gave 58% on Rostik999 Club — the game was taken by Rostikfacekid Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik999 Club · 58%
Series resultRostikfacekid Club 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3