RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Tealoss 1:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:1
One Moveloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
One Move
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 12 games
Hoodwink
queezy · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 12 games
Marsoften banned
SSS · 10 games
Crystal Maiden
Rein · 9 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Rein · 9 games
Leshracoften banned
xn丶e · 9 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
xn丶e · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
388 picks · 666 bans
Gyrocopter
321 picks · 370 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 452 bans
Dark Willow
312 picks · 351 bans
Weaver
310 picks · 584 bans
Rubick
306 picks · 189 bans
Hoodwink
298 picks · 215 bans
Pangolier
287 picks · 535 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 39%
Hero pool strength56% Team Tea
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total66% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:31
Team Tea 66%One Move 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Tea — the game was taken by One Move in 37:01.
Game 2prediction correct24:5
Team Tea 66%One Move 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 26:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 66%
Accuracy by game1 of 2