Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
F9 Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Hoodwinksignature
dEsire · 37 games
Jakirosignature
MoOz · 33 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Nefrit · 31 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Nefrit · 30 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 28 games
Phoenixsignature
MoOz · 26 games
Sand Kingsignature
Worick · 25 games
Tiny
Worick · 25 games
F9 Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
576 picks · 354 bans
Phoenix
483 picks · 576 bans
Rubick
465 picks · 246 bans
Tiny
439 picks · 379 bans
Pangolier
390 picks · 544 bans
Puck
333 picks · 890 bans
Beastmaster
324 picks · 824 bans
Ember Spirit
315 picks · 458 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 67%
Hero pool strength55% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct1:0
Zero Tenacity 86%F9 Team 14%
The model gave 86% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 9:45.
Game 2prediction correct14:25
Zero Tenacity 86%F9 Team 14%
The model gave 86% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 23:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 86%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2