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Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
PSG Questloss 1:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PSG Quest

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 29 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 28 games
64%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
OmaR · 26 games
65%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
TA2000 · 23 games
61%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
No!ob · 22 games
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
OmaR · 22 games
55%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No!ob · 22 games
73%
Lion
Lion
OmaR · 18 games
56%

Team Liquid

Luna
Luna
miCKe · 29 games
52%
Rubick
Rubick
Boxi · 28 games
57%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 26 games
58%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 25 games
60%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 24 games
71%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Boxi · 21 game
62%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
iNSaNiA · 19 games
58%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
iNSaNiA · 19 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
379 picks · 648 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
319 picks · 364 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
313 picks · 350 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
312 picks · 445 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
303 picks · 558 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
291 picks · 188 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
291 picks · 180 bans
49%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
282 picks · 105 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 32%
Hero pool strength53% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total53% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:20
PSG Quest 51%Team Liquid 49%
The model gave 51% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 58:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenTA2000
48% · 230 games49% · 165 games
Vengeful SpiritmiCKe
Vengeful Spirit
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNo!ob
47% · 81 game53% · 185 games
Brewmaster33
Brewmaster
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMalik
49% · 190 games52% · 104 games
SlardarNisha
Slardar
Clockwerk
ClockwerkOmaR
51% · 223 games56% · 113 games
Elder TitaniNSaNiA
Elder Titan
Disruptor
DisruptorDukalis
50% · 133 games46% · 290 games
RubickBoxi
Rubick
Game 2prediction missed7:25
PSG Quest 51%Team Liquid 49%
The model gave 51% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 30:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeTA2000
48% · 145 games49% · 153 games
Beastmaster33
Beastmaster
Enigma
EnigmaMalik
59% · 90 games48% · 179 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightNo!ob
53% · 160 games48% · 201 game
Ember SpiritNisha
Ember Spirit
Clockwerk
ClockwerkOmaR
47% · 154 games50% · 187 games
LionBoxi
Lion
Phoenix
PhoenixDukalis
48% · 206 games51% · 35 games
JakiroiNSaNiA
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2