Xipto Esports vs Team Bored — prediction BSIЗО · Dota 2

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BLAST Slam IX. Закрытые отборочные · BO3

result vs prediction

Xipto Esportsloss 0:2

series probability

41%59%

probability at match start · final 0:2

TBTeam Boredwin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xipto Esports

No games played over 6 months.

Team Bored

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Hoodwink

461 picks · 289 bans

51%

Ember Spirit

314 picks · 465 bans

56%

Mirana

297 picks · 114 bans

52%

Clockwerk

293 picks · 301 bans

51%

Dark Willow

289 picks · 122 bans

49%

Bane

284 picks · 408 bans

51%

Shadow Fiend

280 picks · 585 bans

49%

Undying

271 picks · 368 bans

49%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%

Hero pool strength50% Xipto Esports

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total59% Team Bored

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct32:43

Xipto Esports 46%Team Bored 54%

The model gave 54% on Team Bored — the game was taken by Team Bored in 1:00:25.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo