Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionSTSomnus Teamwin 3:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 3:2
ZTZhou Teamloss 2:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Somnus Team
No games played over 6 months.
Zhou Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
574 picks · 353 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 576 bans
Rubick
464 picks · 245 bans
Tiny
437 picks · 378 bans
Pangolier
389 picks · 544 bans
Puck
333 picks · 887 bans
Beastmaster
323 picks · 820 bans
Ember Spirit
314 picks · 458 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 45%
Hero pool strength50% Somnus Team
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total59% Somnus Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Somnus Team 59%Zhou Team 41%
The model gave 59% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Zhou Team.
Game 2prediction missed0:1
Somnus Team 59%Zhou Team 41%
The model gave 59% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Zhou Team in 35:58.
Game 3prediction correct0:0
Somnus Team 59%Zhou Team 41%
The model gave 59% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team in 23:02.
Game 4prediction correct
Somnus Team 59%Zhou Team 41%
The model gave 59% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Game 5prediction correct
Somnus Team 59%Zhou Team 41%
The model gave 59% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteSomnus Team · 59%
Series resultSomnus Team 3:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 5