RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Tealoss 1:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Dragon Esportsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Dragon Esports
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 7 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
paw · 6 games
Ursaoften banned
paw · 6 games
Lifestealeroften banned
paw · 5 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Norma · 5 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
dualrazee · 5 games
Sven
paw · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
dualrazee · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
379 picks · 646 bans
Gyrocopter
318 picks · 365 bans
Dark Willow
315 picks · 350 bans
Clockwerk
312 picks · 445 bans
Weaver
303 picks · 556 bans
Hoodwink
291 picks · 188 bans
Rubick
291 picks · 180 bans
Centaur Warrunner
282 picks · 376 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 37%
Hero pool strength51% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total62% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:36
Team Tea 62%Dragon Esports 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Dragon Esports in 59:44.
Game 2prediction correct34:10
Team Tea 62%Dragon Esports 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 22:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 62%
Accuracy by game1 of 2