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Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Entitywin 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PSG Questloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Entity

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DM · 1 game
0%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Watson · 1 game
0%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Fishman · 1 game
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Kataomi · 1 game
0%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
No[o]ne · 1 game
0%

PSG Quest

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 29 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 28 games
64%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
OmaR · 26 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
No!ob · 22 games
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
OmaR · 22 games
55%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No!ob · 22 games
73%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
TA2000 · 22 games
64%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 18 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
378 picks · 635 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
314 picks · 364 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
313 picks · 350 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
309 picks · 442 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
298 picks · 547 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
286 picks · 179 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
286 picks · 176 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
281 picks · 377 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 44%
Hero pool strength61% PSG Quest
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total66% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:27
Entity 66%PSG Quest 34%
The model gave 66% on Entity — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 41:16.
Game 2prediction missed16:31
Entity 66%PSG Quest 34%
The model gave 66% on Entity — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 37:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 66%
Series resultEntity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2