Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
LGD Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
LGD Gaming
Marsoften banned
niu · 16 games
Pangolieroften banned
niu · 16 games
Lion
Pyw · 15 games
Timbersawoften banned
niu · 15 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Setsu · 13 games
Puckoften banned
Setsu · 12 games
Tusk
Pyw · 12 games
Weaversignature
shiro · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
388 picks · 643 bans
Gyrocopter
323 picks · 370 bans
Dark Willow
322 picks · 351 bans
Clockwerk
321 picks · 437 bans
Weaver
313 picks · 524 bans
Centaur Warrunner
305 picks · 404 bans
Pangolier
299 picks · 560 bans
Crystal Maiden
294 picks · 112 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head5 – 2
Model total57% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:12
G2 Invictus Gaming 57%LGD Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 37:44.
Game 2prediction missed26:31
G2 Invictus Gaming 57%LGD Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 49:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 57%
Accuracy by game0 of 2