Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Blacklist Internationalwin 2:0series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blacklist International
Doomoften banned
Gabbi · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 1 game
Iooften banned
Jaunuel · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
Jaunuel · 1 game
Rubick
Tims · 1 game
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Tims · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Abed · 1 game
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
394 picks · 620 bans
Gyrocopter
324 picks · 363 bans
Dark Willow
320 picks · 351 bans
Clockwerk
313 picks · 426 bans
Centaur Warrunner
308 picks · 407 bans
Weaver
307 picks · 509 bans
Rubick
300 picks · 165 bans
Crystal Maiden
299 picks · 115 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Blacklist International
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total79% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:8
Blacklist International 21%G2 Invictus Gaming 79%
The model gave 79% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Blacklist International in 43:29.
Game 2prediction missed31:8
Blacklist International 21%G2 Invictus Gaming 79%
The model gave 79% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Blacklist International in 27:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 79%
Series resultBlacklist International 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2