?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
SIBE Teamloss 0:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Twisted Mindswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

SIBE Team

Rubick
Rubick
sunset · 34 games
41%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
sunset · 25 games
44%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
selfhate · 17 games
29%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
sunset · 15 games
47%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
SOhY · 15 games
47%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
ряф^^ · 15 games
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowoften banned
sunset · 14 games
36%
Puck
Pucksignature
ряф^^ · 14 games
71%

Twisted Minds

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Pablo · 24 games
58%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Pablo · 20 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Pablo · 19 games
26%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Handsken · 15 games
40%
Sven
Sven
Shad · 15 games
53%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shad · 14 games
36%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shad · 14 games
43%
Rubick
Rubick
Pablo · 14 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
397 picks · 615 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
329 picks · 363 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
319 picks · 350 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
315 picks · 410 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
308 picks · 423 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
306 picks · 164 bans
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
304 picks · 116 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
302 picks · 497 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 45%
Hero pool strength51% SIBE Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% SIBE Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:24
SIBE Team 52%Twisted Minds 48%
The model gave 52% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by Twisted Minds in 30:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
Windrangerряф^^
49% · 188 games47% · 39 games
BroodmotherShad
Broodmother
Monkey King
Monkey Kingrincyq
52% · 103 games51% · 127 games
Storm SpiritAdzantick
Storm Spirit
Batrider
Batridersunset
53% · 283 games48% · 112 games
SvenMinD_ContRoL
Sven
Jakiro
JakiroSOhY
52% · 31 game49% · 115 games
PhoenixHandsken
Phoenix
48% · 212 games
RubickPablo
Rubick
Game 2prediction missed18:48
SIBE Team 51%Twisted Minds 49%
The model gave 51% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by Twisted Minds in 27:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
Invokerselfhate
50% · 124 games53% · 187 games
WeaverShad
Weaver
Windranger
Windrangerряф^^
47% · 198 games52% · 163 games
Ember SpiritAdzantick
Ember Spirit
Brewmaster
Brewmasterrincyq
55% · 216 games52% · 294 games
PangolierMinD_ContRoL
Pangolier
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsunset
51% · 240 games43% · 182 games
HoodwinkPablo
Hoodwink
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSOhY
49% · 240 games49% · 192 games
SvenHandsken
Sven
Model check result
Model favoriteSIBE Team · 56%
Series resultTwisted Minds 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2