CCT Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Teawin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SIBE Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
SIBE Team
Rubick
sunset · 34 games
Tinyoften banned
sunset · 25 games
Morphlingoften banned
selfhate · 16 games
Batrideroften banned
sunset · 15 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
SOhY · 15 games
Dark Willowoften banned
sunset · 14 games
Pucksignature
ряф^^ · 14 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
ряф^^ · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
400 picks · 619 bans
Gyrocopter
334 picks · 363 bans
Centaur Warrunner
322 picks · 414 bans
Dark Willow
321 picks · 351 bans
Crystal Maiden
313 picks · 116 bans
Rubick
309 picks · 163 bans
Clockwerk
307 picks · 424 bans
Weaver
303 picks · 495 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:10
Team Tea 55%SIBE Team 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 23:54.
Game 2prediction correct42:16
Team Tea 55%SIBE Team 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 25:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 55%
Series resultTeam Tea 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2