CCT Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
One Moveloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Teawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
One Move
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 12 games
Hoodwink
queezy · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
xn丶e · 10 games
Phoenixoften banned
Panto · 10 games
Crystal Maiden
Rein · 9 games
Marsoften banned
SSS · 9 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
xn丶e · 9 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Rein · 8 games
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
408 picks · 634 bans
Gyrocopter
345 picks · 365 bans
Centaur Warrunner
336 picks · 431 bans
Crystal Maiden
334 picks · 125 bans
Rubick
324 picks · 167 bans
Dark Willow
322 picks · 353 bans
Clockwerk
314 picks · 421 bans
Dragon Knight
312 picks · 540 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 54%
Hero pool strength56% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:42
One Move 43%Team Tea 57%
The model gave 57% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 27:45.
Game 2prediction correct27:18
One Move 43%Team Tea 57%
The model gave 57% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 48:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 57%
Series resultTeam Tea 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2