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CCT Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HULIGANIwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
aik · 27 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 24 games
42%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 23 games
52%
Batrider
Batridersignature
jesv · 22 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Lukas · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 18 games
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
nicky`cool · 13 games
38%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
queezy · 13 games
62%

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 25 games
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowoften banned
OneJey · 24 games
38%
Windranger
Windranger
re1bl · 22 games
45%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Panto · 20 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OneJey · 18 games
44%
Rubick
Rubick
OneJey · 18 games
39%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 17 games
47%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
OneJey · 16 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
403 picks · 629 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
345 picks · 365 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
337 picks · 432 bans
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
334 picks · 125 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
322 picks · 354 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
320 picks · 163 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
313 picks · 422 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
312 picks · 574 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total57% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:31
Nemiga Gaming 48%HULIGANI 52%
The model gave 52% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 28:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaLukas
56% · 79 games54% · 80 games
Slarkv1olent-
Slark
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMikSa`
51% · 139 games47% · 152 games
Windrangerre1bl
Windranger
Timbersaw
Timbersawnicky`cool
52% · 220 games41% · 90 games
UnderlordMiyaoo
Underlord
Batrider
Batriderforcemajor
51% · 270 games47% · 172 games
HoodwinkHellscream
Hoodwink
Weaver
Weaverjesv
53% · 143 games49% · 357 games
RubickPanto
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct7:21
Nemiga Gaming 45%HULIGANI 55%
The model gave 55% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 19:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightnicky`cool
45% · 205 games60% · 112 games
Ursav1olent-
Ursa
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightLukas
41% · 84 games59% · 52 games
Legion CommanderMiyaoo
Legion Commander
Underlord
UnderlordMikSa`
51% · 88 games53% · 317 games
Tinyre1bl
Tiny
Batrider
Batriderjesv
49% · 222 games49% · 179 games
SnapfireHellscream
Snapfire
Phoenix
Phoenixforcemajor
46% · 255 games47% · 194 games
EnchantressPanto
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 57%
Series resultHULIGANI 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2