Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Tealoss 0:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Night Pulsewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Night Pulse
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
Clockwerksignature
JANTER · 11 games
Disruptorsignature
Hduo · 10 games
Doomsignature
Corrupted · 10 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Kami · 10 games
Grimstroke
Hduo · 9 games
Morphlingoften banned
Kami · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
401 picks · 619 bans
Gyrocopter
348 picks · 372 bans
Crystal Maiden
340 picks · 129 bans
Centaur Warrunner
335 picks · 443 bans
Dark Willow
321 picks · 353 bans
Clockwerk
312 picks · 417 bans
Rubick
312 picks · 161 bans
Dragon Knight
310 picks · 553 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 48%
Hero pool strength54% Night Pulse
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:45
Team Tea 40%Night Pulse 60%
The model gave 60% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 49:07.
Game 2prediction correct35:38
Team Tea 40%Night Pulse 60%
The model gave 60% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 52:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 60%
Series resultNight Pulse 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2