Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Teawin 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dandelionsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
404 picks · 612 bans
Gyrocopter
352 picks · 371 bans
Crystal Maiden
341 picks · 129 bans
Centaur Warrunner
335 picks · 445 bans
Dark Willow
319 picks · 353 bans
Clockwerk
312 picks · 414 bans
Rubick
312 picks · 159 bans
Dragon Knight
309 picks · 558 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:42
Team Tea 40%Dandelions 60%
The model gave 60% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Team Tea in 52:36.
Game 2prediction missed37:26
Team Tea 40%Dandelions 60%
The model gave 60% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Team Tea in 41:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 60%
Series resultTeam Tea 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2