Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Dandelionswin 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
JustBetterloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
JustBetter
Batridersignature
Astral · 11 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
ThuG · 11 games
Phoenixoften banned
Astral · 10 games
Enchantressoften banned
SsaSpartan · 7 games
Grimstroke
Astral · 7 games
Luna
Focus · 7 games
Weaversignature
Focus · 7 games
Windranger
Focus · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
411 picks · 611 bans
Crystal Maiden
354 picks · 131 bans
Gyrocopter
354 picks · 380 bans
Centaur Warrunner
342 picks · 449 bans
Dark Willow
321 picks · 353 bans
Rubick
310 picks · 163 bans
Pangolier
308 picks · 573 bans
Dragon Knight
307 picks · 586 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 38%
Hero pool strength56% Dandelions
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total74% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:2
Dandelions 74%JustBetter 26%
The model gave 74% on Dandelions — the game was taken by JustBetter in 18:13.
Game 2prediction missed22:39
Dandelions 74%JustBetter 26%
The model gave 74% on Dandelions — the game was taken by JustBetter in 37:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 74%
Series resultDandelions 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2