Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Gior Dota Teamloss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TeamDkwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gior Dota Team
Dark Willow
Asao · 1 game
Hoodwink
Asao · 1 game
Lion
Asao · 1 game
Marsoften banned
kendallx · 1 game
Ringmaster
Asao · 1 game
TeamDk
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
570 picks · 353 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 572 bans
Rubick
463 picks · 243 bans
Tiny
437 picks · 377 bans
Pangolier
388 picks · 541 bans
Puck
332 picks · 881 bans
Beastmaster
322 picks · 813 bans
Tusk
312 picks · 267 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% TeamDk
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% TeamDk
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:37
Gior Dota Team 49%TeamDk 51%
The model gave 51% on TeamDk — the game was taken by TeamDk in 39:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Witch DoctorCara
HoodwinkZxca
little data
Treant ProtectorYor
Game 2prediction correct19:43
Gior Dota Team 46%TeamDk 54%
The model gave 54% on TeamDk — the game was taken by TeamDk in 38:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SilencerCara
RingmasterZxca
47% · 34 games
BaneYor
Model check result
Model favoriteTeamDk · 52%
Series resultTeamDk 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2