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1win Series Dota 2 Summer · BO1
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 1:0
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 1:0
1w Teamloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 22 games
55%
Batrider
Batridersignature
tOfu · 21 game
81%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 18 games
72%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 16 games
75%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 16 games
50%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Quinn · 16 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
tOfu · 14 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 13 games
62%

1w Team

Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
RESPECT · 34 games
65%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Chira JUNIOR · 28 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 25 games
52%
Luna
Lunasignature
Munkushi~ · 24 games
71%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
RESPECT · 22 games
55%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Munkushi~ · 22 games
68%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 21 game
52%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 20 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 605 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
356 picks · 379 bans
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
352 picks · 133 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
340 picks · 453 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
322 picks · 353 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
312 picks · 159 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
308 picks · 573 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
307 picks · 586 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 74%
Hero pool strength51% 1w Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:29
Gaimin Gladiators 67%1w Team 33%
The model gave 67% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 53:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void Spirit
Void SpiritQuinn
49% · 47 games54% · 80 games
Chaos KnightMunkushi~
Chaos Knight
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritdyrachyo
48% · 132 games51% · 160 games
TimbersawCloud
Timbersaw
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerAce
51% · 43 games55% · 116 games
WindrangerChira JUNIOR
Windranger
Hoodwink
HoodwinktOfu
44% · 127 games41% · 71 game
Monkey Kingswedenstrong
Monkey King
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
56% · 119 games51% · 41 game
Witch DoctorRESPECT
Witch Doctor
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 82%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1