Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Hryvnialoss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 25 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Panto · 20 games
Dark Willowoften banned
OneJey · 20 games
Windranger
re1bl · 18 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 17 games
Luna
RAMZES666 · 15 games
Rubick
OneJey · 15 games
Tinyoften banned
OneJey · 15 games
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
410 picks · 599 bans
Gyrocopter
357 picks · 379 bans
Crystal Maiden
354 picks · 135 bans
Centaur Warrunner
341 picks · 451 bans
Dark Willow
323 picks · 352 bans
Rubick
309 picks · 159 bans
Pangolier
308 picks · 576 bans
Dragon Knight
306 picks · 588 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 55%
Hero pool strength50% Team Hryvnia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:3
HULIGANI 82%Team Hryvnia 18%
The model gave 82% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 12:27.
Game 2prediction correct
HULIGANI 82%Team Hryvnia 18%
The model gave 82% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 82%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2