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1win Series Dota 2 Summer · BO1
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 1:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PSG Questloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 22 games
55%
Batrider
Batridersignature
tOfu · 21 game
81%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 18 games
72%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 16 games
75%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 16 games
50%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Quinn · 16 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
tOfu · 13 games
46%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Seleri · 13 games
54%

PSG Quest

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 26 games
58%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 24 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OmaR · 22 games
59%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No!ob · 22 games
73%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
OmaR · 21 game
57%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
TA2000 · 21 game
62%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Malik · 18 games
56%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 18 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 598 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
357 picks · 379 bans
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
355 picks · 135 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
342 picks · 452 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
323 picks · 352 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
308 picks · 575 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
308 picks · 159 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
305 picks · 591 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% PSG Quest
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total72% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:6
Gaimin Gladiators 61%PSG Quest 39%
The model gave 61% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 14:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
Broodmotherdyrachyo
57% · 60 games43% · 125 games
BeastmasterMalik
Beastmaster
Monkey King
Monkey KingQuinn
49% · 63 games53% · 166 games
Dragon KnightNo!ob
Dragon Knight
Underlord
UnderlordAce
50% · 53 games48% · 168 games
MorphlingTA2000
Morphling
Rubick
RubicktOfu
52% · 251 game45% · 91 game
Spirit BreakerOmaR
Spirit Breaker
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
51% · 152 games57% · 29 games
Witch DoctorDukalis
Witch Doctor
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 72%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1