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Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 3:1
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 3:1
beastcoastloss 1:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Oscar · 8 games
75%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Gardick · 8 games
75%
Lina
Lina
Parker · 7 games
43%
Techies
Techies
Demon · 7 games
29%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Oscar · 6 games
83%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Yadomi · 6 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Genek · 5 games
40%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
60%

beastcoast

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
416 picks · 605 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
366 picks · 384 bans
51%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
358 picks · 139 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
353 picks · 457 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
324 picks · 349 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
314 picks · 161 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
312 picks · 582 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
310 picks · 617 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 68%
Hero pool strength54% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total69% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:23
Infinity Esports 31%beastcoast 69%
The model gave 69% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 53:11.
Game 2prediction correct6:34
Infinity Esports 31%beastcoast 69%
The model gave 69% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast in 33:02.
Game 3prediction missed31:24
Infinity Esports 31%beastcoast 69%
The model gave 69% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 53:53.
Game 4prediction missed35:24
Infinity Esports 31%beastcoast 69%
The model gave 69% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 38:14.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 69%
Series resultInfinity Esports 3:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 4