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BLAST Slam VII · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 2:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Spiritloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 32 games
75%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Saksa · 28 games
61%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 27 games
56%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 26 games
62%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 24 games
63%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 23 games
78%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 21 game
76%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Saksa · 21 game
62%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 43 games
63%
Tusk
Tusk
rue · 25 games
56%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
rue · 23 games
52%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Collapse · 22 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Panto · 22 games
64%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 22 games
55%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 21 game
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
568 picks · 353 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
481 picks · 568 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
461 picks · 243 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
437 picks · 376 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
386 picks · 540 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
331 picks · 877 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
322 picks · 811 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
311 picks · 267 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% Team Yandex
Head-to-head6 – 2
Model total53% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:25
Team Yandex 49%Team Spirit 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 53:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinWatson
48% · 276 games49% · 226 games
Shadow FiendYatoro
Shadow Fiend
Invoker
InvokerChira JUNIOR
53% · 183 games55% · 124 games
LargoCollapse
Largo
Underlord
UnderlordDM
45% · 290 games51% · 301 game
Ember SpiritLarl
Ember Spirit
Rubick
RubickSaksa
50% · 229 games50% · 126 games
Lionnot me
Lion
Clockwerk
ClockwerkMalady
49% · 208 games49% · 409 games
Tuskrue
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct42:20
Team Yandex 51%Team Spirit 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 39:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidWatson
60% · 62 games49% · 86 games
AlchemistYatoro
Alchemist
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetChira JUNIOR
56% · 155 games42% · 341 game
PangolierCollapse
Pangolier
Axe
AxeDM
58% · 209 games46% · 87 games
ViperLarl
Viper
Rubick
RubickSaksa
50% · 364 games42% · 87 games
Techiesnot me
Techies
Bane
BaneMalady
53% · 189 games45% · 378 games
Hoodwinkrue
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 53%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2