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Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastloss 0:2
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

beastcoast

No games played over 6 months.

Infinity Esports

Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Oscar · 7 games
71%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Gardick · 7 games
71%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Parker · 7 games
43%
Techies
Techies
Demon · 7 games
29%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Oscar · 6 games
83%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Yadomi · 6 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Yadomi · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
422 picks · 613 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
372 picks · 388 bans
51%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
365 picks · 139 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
359 picks · 468 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
322 picks · 345 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
318 picks · 584 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
313 picks · 639 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
312 picks · 163 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total72% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed0:0
beastcoast 72%Infinity Esports 28%
The model gave 72% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 51:21.
Game 2prediction missed32:22
beastcoast 72%Infinity Esports 28%
The model gave 72% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 46:06.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 72%
Series resultInfinity Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2