Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionUunknowloss 0:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Balu Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
unknow
Batrideroften banned
Wuiter · 1 game
Primal Beast
Wuiter · 1 game
Balu Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
568 picks · 353 bans
Phoenix
481 picks · 568 bans
Rubick
461 picks · 242 bans
Tiny
437 picks · 376 bans
Pangolier
386 picks · 539 bans
Puck
331 picks · 877 bans
Beastmaster
322 picks · 811 bans
Tusk
311 picks · 267 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% Balu Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% unknow
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:41
unknow 57%Balu Team 43%
The model gave 57% on unknow — the game was taken by Balu Team in 43:24.
Game 2prediction missed
unknow 57%Balu Team 43%
The model gave 57% on unknow — the game was taken by Balu Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteunknow · 57%
Series resultBalu Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2