Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLCLa Correntadaloss 1:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
TGTeam Giga cringewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
La Correntada
No games played over 6 months.
Team Giga cringe
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
422 picks · 613 bans
Gyrocopter
372 picks · 388 bans
Crystal Maiden
365 picks · 138 bans
Centaur Warrunner
359 picks · 469 bans
Dark Willow
321 picks · 342 bans
Pangolier
317 picks · 583 bans
Dragon Knight
312 picks · 640 bans
Rubick
312 picks · 161 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% La Correntada
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Team Giga cringe
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:47
La Correntada 45%Team Giga cringe 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Giga cringe — the game was taken by Team Giga cringe in 33:08.
Game 2prediction missed
La Correntada 45%Team Giga cringe 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Giga cringe — the game was taken by La Correntada.
Game 3prediction correct
La Correntada 45%Team Giga cringe 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Giga cringe — the game was taken by Team Giga cringe.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Giga cringe · 55%
Series resultTeam Giga cringe 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3