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Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
team_monkeys-loss 1:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The Hutwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

team_monkeys-

Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Double King · 7 games
57%
Mirana
Mirana
albinozebra · 4 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
monkeys-forever · 3 games
67%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
monkeys-forever · 3 games
33%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
albinozebra · 3 games
33%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
albinozebra · 3 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
monkeys-forever · 2 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
albinozebra · 2 games
50%

The Hut

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
bgod · 2 games
50%
Pudge
Pudgeoften banned
bgod · 2 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowoften banned
bgod · 1 game
100%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
bgod · 1 game
100%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
bgod · 1 game
0%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
bgod · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
422 picks · 610 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
370 picks · 388 bans
51%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
365 picks · 138 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
358 picks · 467 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
320 picks · 342 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
316 picks · 582 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
312 picks · 639 bans
49%
Rubick
Rubick
312 picks · 160 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% team_monkeys-
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% team_monkeys-
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:22
team_monkeys- 60%The Hut 40%
The model gave 60% on team_monkeys- — the game was taken by The Hut in 41:08.
Game 2prediction missed34:21
team_monkeys- 60%The Hut 40%
The model gave 60% on team_monkeys- — the game was taken by The Hut in 42:30.
Game 3prediction missed23:39
team_monkeys- 60%The Hut 40%
The model gave 60% on team_monkeys- — the game was taken by The Hut in 41:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteteam_monkeys- · 60%
Series resultThe Hut 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3