?
arrow_backBack to match
Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GRIN esportswin 2:0
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
team_monkeys-loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GRIN esports

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Lodine · 9 games
89%
Mars
Marssignature
Moo · 9 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
ITALIANO GANGSTA · 8 games
25%
Doom
Doomoften banned
H1j4ck · 6 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Moo · 5 games
40%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Bloody Nine · 5 games
60%
Luna
Luna
Double King · 4 games
75%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Double King · 4 games
25%

team_monkeys-

Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Double King · 7 games
57%
Mirana
Mirana
albinozebra · 4 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
monkeys-forever · 3 games
67%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
monkeys-forever · 3 games
33%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
albinozebra · 3 games
33%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
albinozebra · 3 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
monkeys-forever · 2 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
albinozebra · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
422 picks · 614 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
371 picks · 390 bans
51%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
367 picks · 141 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
360 picks · 468 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
321 picks · 342 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
318 picks · 583 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
314 picks · 159 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
313 picks · 646 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% GRIN esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% team_monkeys-
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
GRIN esports 39%team_monkeys- 61%
The model gave 61% on team_monkeys- — the game was taken by GRIN esports.
Game 2prediction missed
GRIN esports 39%team_monkeys- 61%
The model gave 61% on team_monkeys- — the game was taken by GRIN esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteteam_monkeys- · 61%
Series resultGRIN esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2