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Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Sabong esportsloss 0:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
IHC Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Sabong esports

No games played over 6 months.

IHC Esports

Dark Willow
Dark Willowoften banned
ace12 · 11 games
36%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
eleven · 9 games
67%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Se · 9 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
ace12 · 5 games
60%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
eleven · 5 games
20%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
eleven · 4 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
FortuneSoul · 4 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
eleven · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
417 picks · 613 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
370 picks · 385 bans
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
365 picks · 141 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
360 picks · 470 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
317 picks · 575 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
316 picks · 652 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
315 picks · 341 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
315 picks · 154 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Sabong esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% IHC Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:48
Sabong esports 36%IHC Esports 64%
The model gave 64% on IHC Esports — the game was taken by IHC Esports in 33:45.
Game 2prediction correct12:27
Sabong esports 36%IHC Esports 64%
The model gave 64% on IHC Esports — the game was taken by IHC Esports in 29:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteIHC Esports · 64%
Series resultIHC Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2