Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Balu Teamloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Flame Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Balu Team
No games played over 6 months.
Flame Esports
Beastmasteroften banned
emptiness · 1 game
Huskaroften banned
legacy · 1 game
Techies
Jeezy · 1 game
Treant Protectoroften banned
Stoic · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
564 picks · 353 bans
Phoenix
479 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
459 picks · 241 bans
Tiny
436 picks · 372 bans
Pangolier
385 picks · 535 bans
Puck
331 picks · 869 bans
Beastmaster
320 picks · 808 bans
Tusk
310 picks · 267 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% Flame Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Balu Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:38
Balu Team 51%Flame Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on Balu Team — the game was taken by Flame Esports in 53:13.
Game 2prediction missed18:39
Balu Team 51%Flame Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on Balu Team — the game was taken by Flame Esports in 33:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteBalu Team · 51%
Series resultFlame Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2