Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTGTeam Giga cringewin 2:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Gods of Hellloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Giga cringe
No games played over 6 months.
Gods of Hell
Clockwerkoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Vengeful Spirit
N1NE · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
420 picks · 612 bans
Gyrocopter
375 picks · 386 bans
Crystal Maiden
362 picks · 145 bans
Centaur Warrunner
357 picks · 472 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
321 picks · 155 bans
Dragon Knight
316 picks · 667 bans
Batrider
315 picks · 436 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 42%
Hero pool strength56% Team Giga cringe
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Team Giga cringe
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:39
Team Giga cringe 59%Gods of Hell 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Giga cringe — the game was taken by Gods of Hell in 37:35.
Game 2prediction missed15:52
Team Giga cringe 59%Gods of Hell 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Giga cringe — the game was taken by Gods of Hell in 32:20.
Game 3prediction missed41:24
Team Giga cringe 59%Gods of Hell 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Giga cringe — the game was taken by Gods of Hell in 28:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Giga cringe · 59%
Series resultTeam Giga cringe 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3