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Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
IHC Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangon Galacticos

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
100%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
100%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
50%

IHC Esports

Dark Willow
Dark Willowoften banned
ace12 · 10 games
30%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
eleven · 9 games
67%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Se · 9 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
FortuneSoul · 4 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
eleven · 4 games
25%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
423 · 4 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
ace12 · 4 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
ace12 · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
418 picks · 612 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
369 picks · 383 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
359 picks · 467 bans
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
356 picks · 148 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
321 picks · 573 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
317 picks · 663 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
317 picks · 153 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
313 picks · 439 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 46%
Hero pool strength52% IHC Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total50% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:11
Yangon Galacticos 51%IHC Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 31:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordKsh
48% · 74 games47% · 28 games
Beastmastereleven
Beastmaster
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainYoung PH
49% · 59 games38% · 18 games
UrsaFortuneSoul
Ursa
64% · 17 games
MarciHishge
Marci
56% · 70 games
Batriderace12
Batrider
Game 2prediction missed36:37
Yangon Galacticos 51%IHC Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by IHC Esports in 39:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritYoung PH
49% · 105 games56% · 26 games
MarciFortuneSoul
Marci
Windranger
WindrangerKsh
48% · 113 games45% · 73 games
Timbersaweleven
Timbersaw
47% · 82 games
LionHishge
Lion
60% · 37 games
Ioace12
Io
Game 3prediction missed20:31
Yangon Galacticos 52%IHC Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by IHC Esports in 43:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaKsh
58% · 58 games58% · 20 games
Brewmastereleven
Brewmaster
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritYoung PH
46% · 114 games51% · 17 games
LifestealerFortuneSoul
Lifestealer
53% · 52 games
Dark WillowHishge
Dark Willow
42% · 83 games
Phoenixace12
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 50%
Series resultIHC Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3