Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionGBGrind Backwin 2:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ivoryloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Grind Back
No games played over 6 months.
Ivory
Storm Spiritsignature
Ken · 11 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ken · 10 games
Jakiro
Teehee · 8 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Rupido · 7 games
Gyrocopter
Karma丶 · 7 games
Hoodwink
Dric~ · 7 games
Skywrath Mage
Dric~ · 6 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Rupido · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
564 picks · 348 bans
Phoenix
479 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
455 picks · 239 bans
Tiny
435 picks · 371 bans
Pangolier
383 picks · 530 bans
Puck
330 picks · 865 bans
Beastmaster
320 picks · 804 bans
Tusk
310 picks · 267 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 39%
Hero pool strength55% Grind Back
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Grind Back
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Grind Back 56%Ivory 44%
The model gave 56% on Grind Back — the game was taken by Grind Back.
Game 2prediction correct
Grind Back 56%Ivory 44%
The model gave 56% on Grind Back — the game was taken by Grind Back.
Model check result
Model favoriteGrind Back · 56%
Series resultGrind Back 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2