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Asgard Championship Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters Ariseloss 0:2
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Spirit Academywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters Arise

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
waveformn · 5 games
40%
Marci
Marcioften banned
waveformn · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ethereal · 3 games
67%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 3 games
67%
Tusk
Tusk
waveformn · 3 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Ankou · 2 games
0%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
yowaai · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Panda · 2 games
50%

Team Spirit Academy

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Aidar · 21 game
52%
Lion
Lion
Aidar · 16 games
44%
Kunkka
Kunkka
86 · 13 games
23%
Largo
Largooften banned
86 · 12 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
kae · 11 games
36%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Aidar · 11 games
36%
Batrider
Batridersignature
86 · 10 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
kae · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
500 picks · 364 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
365 picks · 656 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
350 picks · 196 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
334 picks · 376 bans
58%
Tiny
Tiny
321 picks · 346 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
313 picks · 449 bans
56%
Windranger
Windranger
312 picks · 232 bans
47%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
297 picks · 557 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% Rune Eaters Arise
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Rune Eaters Arise
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Rune Eaters Arise 65%Team Spirit Academy 35%
The model gave 65% on Rune Eaters Arise — the game was taken by Team Spirit Academy.
Game 2prediction missed
Rune Eaters Arise 65%Team Spirit Academy 35%
The model gave 65% on Rune Eaters Arise — the game was taken by Team Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters Arise · 65%
Series resultTeam Spirit Academy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2