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Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 0:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Night Pulsewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
emptiness · 31 game
58%
Techies
Techies
rue · 28 games
46%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
asdekor_r · 26 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 22 games
45%
Luna
Lunasignature
Satanic · 17 games
65%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 17 games
53%
Mars
Marsoften banned
emptiness · 16 games
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
rue · 16 games
44%

Night Pulse

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
JANTER · 9 games
78%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Corrupted · 8 games
25%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
JANTER · 8 games
63%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
57%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Kami · 7 games
57%
Techies
Techies
JANTER · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
453 picks · 680 bans
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
412 picks · 190 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
400 picks · 536 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
397 picks · 421 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
346 picks · 565 bans
48%
Rubick
Rubick
344 picks · 171 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
338 picks · 640 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
330 picks · 831 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Yellow Submarine 50%Night Pulse 50%
The model gave 50% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 50%
Series resultNight Pulse 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1