The International 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastwin 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Infinity Esports
Linaoften banned
Parker · 7 games
Brewmastersignature
Oscar · 6 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Oscar · 6 games
Grimstrokesignature
Yadomi · 6 games
Techies
Demon · 6 games
Ogre Magi
Yadomi · 5 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Parker · 5 games
Dawnbreaker
Oscar · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
456 picks · 214 bans
Tiny
446 picks · 710 bans
Gyrocopter
415 picks · 425 bans
Centaur Warrunner
413 picks · 587 bans
Batrider
372 picks · 660 bans
Rubick
365 picks · 169 bans
Dragon Knight
352 picks · 929 bans
Pangolier
346 picks · 675 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% beastcoast
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total73% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
beastcoast 73%Infinity Esports 27%
The model gave 73% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast.
Game 2prediction correct
beastcoast 73%Infinity Esports 27%
The model gave 73% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 73%
Series resultbeastcoast 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2