Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Twisted Mindsloss 0:2series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PSG Questwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Twisted Minds
Batrideroften banned
Pablo · 16 games
Hoodwinksignature
Pablo · 15 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shad · 14 games
Tinyoften banned
Pablo · 14 games
Sven
Shad · 13 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Xibbe · 12 games
Phoenixoften banned
Handsken · 12 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Adzantick · 12 games
PSG Quest
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 23 games
Tinysignature
No!ob · 21 game
Hoodwink
OmaR · 19 games
Gyrocopter
OmaR · 18 games
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 18 games
Windrangeroften banned
TA2000 · 18 games
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 17 games
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
471 picks · 223 bans
Tiny
451 picks · 730 bans
Centaur Warrunner
437 picks · 604 bans
Gyrocopter
427 picks · 426 bans
Batrider
384 picks · 693 bans
Rubick
379 picks · 166 bans
Dragon Knight
361 picks · 974 bans
Pangolier
353 picks · 694 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength54% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:40
Twisted Minds 27%PSG Quest 73%
The model gave 73% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 35:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos KnightShad
Vengeful SpiritTA2000
Dark SeerStoneBank
Death ProphetNo!ob
ZeusAdzantick
BrewmasterMalik
Winter WyvernHandsken
ClockwerkOmaR
Dark WillowPablo
OracleDukalis
Game 2prediction correct
Twisted Minds 11%PSG Quest 89%
The model gave 89% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest.
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 89%
Series resultPSG Quest 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2