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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 1:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:0
OGloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 38 games
68%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 36 games
61%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 31 game
68%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 31 game
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 29 games
62%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 27 games
63%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
Ace · 24 games
67%
Kez
Kezsignature
miCKe · 23 games
61%

OG

Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 16 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Skem · 15 games
53%
Axe
Axe
Force · 14 games
50%
Chen
Chensignature
Skem · 14 games
64%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Force · 14 games
36%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Natsumi · 14 games
57%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Skem · 13 games
54%
Mars
Marssignature
Force · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
563 picks · 348 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
479 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
455 picks · 239 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
435 picks · 370 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
382 picks · 530 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
330 picks · 865 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
320 picks · 804 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
310 picks · 267 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 25%
Hero pool strength58% Team Liquid
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total76% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:10
Team Liquid 66%OG 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 34:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosNisha
43% · 24 games48% · 30 games
Phantom LancerNatsumi
Phantom Lancer
Drow Ranger
Drow RangermiCKe
41% · 39 games56% · 195 games
TimbersawTORONTOTOKYO
Timbersaw
Slardar
SlardarAce
47% · 259 games45% · 371 game
PangolierYopaj
Pangolier
Hoodwink
HoodwinkBoxi
51% · 365 games53% · 150 games
ChenSkem
Chen
Bane
BanetOfu
56% · 175 games53% · 116 games
LionTims
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 76%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1