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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 0:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:1
LGD Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Whitemon · 37 games
68%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Ari · 32 games
69%
Tiny
Tinysignature
bzm · 31 game
61%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 30 games
63%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 29 games
69%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
33 · 29 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
bzm · 27 games
63%
Largo
Largosignature
33 · 26 games
65%

LGD Gaming

Bane
Bane
KJ · 4 games
75%
Kez
Kezoften banned
TaiLung · 4 games
75%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
KJ · 4 games
50%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Thiolicor · 4 games
75%
Axe
Axe
Wisper · 3 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 3 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Thiolicor · 3 games
67%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
Yuma · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
562 picks · 348 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
479 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
455 picks · 239 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
435 picks · 369 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
381 picks · 530 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
329 picks · 865 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
320 picks · 803 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
310 picks · 267 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 64%
Hero pool strength50% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:26
Tundra Esports 51%LGD Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 55:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendPure~
46% · 266 games48% · 50 games
Drow RangerYuma
Drow Ranger
Pangolier
Pangolierbzm
47% · 351 game51% · 392 games
PuckTaiLung
Puck
Tidehunter
Tidehunter33
47% · 201 game50% · 128 games
LargoWisper
Largo
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightAri
52% · 128 games51% · 405 games
HoodwinkThiolicor
Hoodwink
Lion
LionWhitemon
50% · 162 games58% · 133 games
Treant ProtectorKJ
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 55%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1