?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Yandexloss 0:1
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:1
LGD Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 33 games
73%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 28 games
54%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Saksa · 28 games
61%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 26 games
62%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 24 games
63%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 23 games
78%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 21 game
76%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Saksa · 21 game
62%

LGD Gaming

Bane
Bane
KJ · 4 games
75%
Kez
Kezoften banned
TaiLung · 4 games
75%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
KJ · 4 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 3 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Thiolicor · 3 games
67%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
Yuma · 3 games
67%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Thiolicor · 3 games
67%
Axe
Axe
Wisper · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
564 picks · 348 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
479 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
455 picks · 238 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
437 picks · 368 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
381 picks · 529 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
329 picks · 864 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
320 picks · 805 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
310 picks · 267 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 62%
Hero pool strength54% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed52:61
Team Yandex 59%LGD Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 1:51:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendWatson
56% · 288 games46% · 203 games
GyrocopterYuma
Gyrocopter
Viper
ViperChira JUNIOR
38% · 118 games53% · 128 games
Nature's ProphetTaiLung
Nature's Prophet
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSaksa
60% · 88 games53% · 221 game
WindrangerThiolicor
Windranger
Beastmaster
BeastmasterDM
49% · 371 game56% · 194 games
SnapfireWisper
Snapfire
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernMalady
40% · 38 games46% · 157 games
AxeKJ
Axe
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 67%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1