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The International 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Universitario Esportsloss 1:2
series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BOOM Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Universitario Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
ShakaLord · 1 game
0%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Leostyle · 1 game
0%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Leostyle · 1 game
0%
Sven
Sven
DM · 1 game
0%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
DM · 1 game
0%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
ShakaLord · 1 game
0%

BOOM Esports

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 24 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
ILICH- · 19 games
63%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Pakazs · 18 games
72%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 16 games
31%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Panda · 16 games
63%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Pakazs · 14 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 14 games
43%
Techies
Techiessignature
Panda · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
480 picks · 224 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
452 picks · 742 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
427 picks · 625 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
426 picks · 410 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
404 picks · 744 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
379 picks · 164 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
352 picks · 1025 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
350 picks · 730 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 53%
Hero pool strength59% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:48
Universitario Esports 12%BOOM Esports 88%
The model gave 88% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Universitario Esports in 49:48.
Game 2prediction correct35:22
Universitario Esports 12%BOOM Esports 88%
The model gave 88% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 30:26.
Game 3prediction correct35:13
Universitario Esports 12%BOOM Esports 88%
The model gave 88% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 31:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 88%
Series resultBOOM Esports 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3