Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Hive-loss 0:1series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Gwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hive-
Ringmaster
slimeyao · 6 games
Rubick
slimeyao · 5 games
Tiny
byun · 5 games
Hoodwink
slimeyao · 4 games
Phoenixoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 4 games
Chenoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 3 games
Enchantress
kur0patbI4 · 3 games
Alchemistoften banned
byun · 2 games
Team G
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
562 picks · 348 bans
Phoenix
478 picks · 568 bans
Rubick
454 picks · 237 bans
Tiny
436 picks · 367 bans
Pangolier
380 picks · 527 bans
Puck
327 picks · 864 bans
Beastmaster
321 picks · 802 bans
Jakiro
308 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Team G
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Team G
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:35
Hive- 39%Team G 61%
The model gave 61% on Team G — the game was taken by Team G in 39:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Voidbyun
TimbersawAntares
Hoodwinkxsvampire
KezMunkushi~
Enchantresskur0patbI4
Storm Spiritxn丶e
44% · 26 games
Winter WyvernSoNNeikO
50% · 81 game
Lionmrls
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam G · 70%
Series resultTeam G 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1