Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Kalmychataloss 0:1series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Yellow Submarinewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Kalmychata
No games played over 6 months.
Yellow Submarine
Ringmastersignature
Htrd · 38 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Mirele · 20 games
Batrideroften banned
not me · 19 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Infernal · 18 games
Hoodwink
prblms · 16 games
Void Spirit
Mirele · 14 games
Windrangersignature
bottega · 14 games
Muertasignature
bottega · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
562 picks · 347 bans
Phoenix
478 picks · 568 bans
Rubick
454 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
436 picks · 366 bans
Pangolier
380 picks · 526 bans
Puck
327 picks · 863 bans
Beastmaster
321 picks · 802 bans
Jakiro
308 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 59%
Hero pool strength54% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head3 – 5
Model total80% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:28
Kalmychata 20%Yellow Submarine 80%
The model gave 80% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 33:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 80%
Series resultYellow Submarine 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1