?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:0
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DAME TUS MONEDIloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Lina
Linaoften banned
Parker · 7 games
43%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Oscar · 6 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Oscar · 6 games
83%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Yadomi · 6 games
67%
Techies
Techies
Demon · 6 games
17%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Yadomi · 5 games
60%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Parker · 5 games
40%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Oscar · 4 games
25%

DAME TUS MONEDI

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
482 picks · 223 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
452 picks · 749 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
430 picks · 640 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
426 picks · 410 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
404 picks · 759 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
383 picks · 166 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
356 picks · 1043 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
353 picks · 742 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% DAME TUS MONEDI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Infinity Esports 68%DAME TUS MONEDI 32%
The model gave 68% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
Infinity Esports 68%DAME TUS MONEDI 32%
The model gave 68% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 68%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2