The International 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
TT InfinBankloss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
T5Tony's 5 Friendswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TT InfinBank
No games played over 6 months.
Tony's 5 Friends
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 223 bans
Tiny
455 picks · 733 bans
Centaur Warrunner
432 picks · 630 bans
Gyrocopter
426 picks · 406 bans
Batrider
405 picks · 758 bans
Rubick
389 picks · 164 bans
Dragon Knight
358 picks · 1038 bans
Pangolier
357 picks · 746 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% TT InfinBank
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% TT InfinBank
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
TT InfinBank 53%Tony's 5 Friends 47%
The model gave 53% on TT InfinBank — the game was taken by Tony's 5 Friends.
Game 2prediction missed
TT InfinBank 53%Tony's 5 Friends 47%
The model gave 53% on TT InfinBank — the game was taken by Tony's 5 Friends.
Model check result
Model favoriteTT InfinBank · 53%
Series resultTony's 5 Friends 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2