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The International 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
NoOracleloss 1:2
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Level UPwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

NoOracle

No games played over 6 months.

Level UP

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
dEsire · 11 games
36%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Jeezy · 7 games
43%
Rubick
Rubick
Jeezy · 7 games
29%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Taiga · 6 games
50%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Bor@nija · 6 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Bor@nija · 6 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Stoic · 5 games
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bor@nija · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 223 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
455 picks · 733 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
434 picks · 630 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
426 picks · 406 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
405 picks · 760 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
389 picks · 164 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
358 picks · 1040 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
357 picks · 746 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 31%
Hero pool strength54% NoOracle
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
NoOracle 41%Level UP 59%
The model gave 59% on Level UP — the game was taken by NoOracle.
Game 2prediction correct
NoOracle 41%Level UP 59%
The model gave 59% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP.
Game 3prediction correct
NoOracle 41%Level UP 59%
The model gave 59% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 59%
Series resultLevel UP 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3