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The International 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
SIBE Teamwin 2:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hydraloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

SIBE Team

Rubick
Rubick
sunset · 30 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
sunset · 21 game
43%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
SOhY · 17 games
53%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 16 games
25%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
ряф^^ · 15 games
47%
Puck
Pucksignature
ряф^^ · 15 games
67%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
ряф^^ · 14 games
57%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
SOhY · 13 games
54%

Hydra

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DkFogas · 3 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
hina · 3 games
33%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
JANTER · 2 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
xsvampire · 2 games
0%
Abaddon
Abaddon
kur0patbI4 · 1 game
0%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Retsu · 1 game
0%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
krylat · 1 game
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
JANTER · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 223 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
455 picks · 733 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
434 picks · 629 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
426 picks · 406 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
405 picks · 760 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
389 picks · 164 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
358 picks · 1040 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
357 picks · 746 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 46%
Hero pool strength51% Hydra
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total52% SIBE Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct48:24
SIBE Team 52%Hydra 48%
The model gave 52% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 42:39.
Game 2prediction correct20:37
SIBE Team 52%Hydra 48%
The model gave 52% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 32:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteSIBE Team · 52%
Series resultSIBE Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2